In this article…

📂 West Ham v Brentford Cheat Sheet
📈 West Ham v Brentford Form & Tactics
📔 West Ham v Brentford Formation & Team News
📊 West Ham v Brentford Key Stats
🤖 AI Analysis: Picks & Bet Builders (from the StatsBench table)
🔮 Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club

West Ham welcome Brentford with the Hammers looking for their first home win of the season having lost all three of their matches at the London Stadium so far.

Brentford are also searching for their first win on the road with Keith Andrews’ side coming away with three losses from their early season travels.

West Ham v Brentford — Form & Tactics

An early season change at the helm was necessary for West Ham; it was clear that Potter had long lost the dressing room, ending with a win rate of just 24%—his lowest at any club. That said, recruitment above him has been a problem, with a top-down model that left the squad unbalanced.

Nuno Espírito Santo has handled chaotic regimes before (Wolves, Forest). His first two games—draw at Everton and defeat at Arsenal—were both away; with a few weeks on the grass, expect clearer patterns in his first home game.

Brentford are progressing steadily under Keith Andrews but need more to convince they’ll ride out a bottom-table scrap. Home form has been stubborn; away form (three losses) is the concern.

West Ham v Brentford — Formation & Team News

West Ham have used 4-2-3-1 / 4-1-4-1, leaning on a deeper line and countering. Defensive numbers are poor (16 conceded, most in league). Crosses and set-piece structure are weak; the Mavropanos–Kilman pairing looks disconnected. Malick Diouf has been a bright spark at LB with elite delivery; expect Nuno to platform him without losing the back-four shape.

Brentford switch between 5-3-2 and 4-2-3-1 based on opponent. Andrews seems pragmatist-first: target the opponent’s weaknesses rather than force a single identity. Schade and Igor Thiago bring speed/physicality, but a front two can limit box entries; options like Ouattara, Carvalho, Nelson allow for a wider front if they want to stretch the weakest backline in the division.

West Ham v Brentford — Key Stats

• West Ham have conceded more goals than any other Premier League side (16).
• Brentford have lost all three away matches this season.
• This is Nuno Espírito Santo’s first London Stadium match in charge.
• Brentford’s foul counts have risen notably (≈ 8.7 → 12.6).

AI Analysis — Picks & Bet Builders (from the StatsBench table)

Built only from the cheat sheet provided—no outside data.

High-confidence singles (safer legs)

• Jarrod Bowen — 1+ Shot on Target (Low/Med)
  L5 hit 80%, 1.00 SOT/90; primary West Ham outlet.
• Igor Thiago — 1+ Shot on Target (Low/Med)
  L5 hit 80%, 0.96 SOT/90; (PK) tag on sheet.
• Lucas Paquetá — 1+ Foul (Low/Med)
  L5 100%, commits 1.63/90; central duel vs Henderson lane.
• Yehor Yarmoliuk — 1+ Foul (Low/Med)
  L5 100%, commits 1.64/90; slated against M. Fernandes side.
• Max Kilman — 1+ Foul (Medium)
  L5 80%, commits 1.14/90; busy vs Igor Thiago.
• M. Fernandes — 1+ Foul (Medium)
  L5 80%, commits 1.80/90; isolation risk vs Yarmoliuk/Schade channels.

Team & totals (market dependent)

• Total Shots Over 19.5 (Medium)
  West Ham L5 100%; Brentford L5 60%; WHU allow 14.76 shots against avg.
• Match Cards Over 4.5 (Medium)
  Ref baseline around 3.0–3.4 yellows; Brentford L5 “Over 4.5 cards” 80%; WHU cards for 1.57 + Bees ≈2.00 tilt towards 5+.
• Total Fouls Over (≈23.5–25.5) (Medium)
  Both sides L5 Over 15.5 fouls = 80%; referee profile supports higher contact.
• West Ham 10+ Team Shots (Medium, if offered)
  WHU shots for 9.86, Bees shots against 13.43; Diouf service → Bowen volume.

Player shots (ladder if price-friendly)

• Bowen — 2+ Shots (Medium) — L5 60%, 2.14/90.
• Igor Thiago — 2+ Shots (Medium) — L5 40%, 1.91/90 (plus money preferred).
• Kevin Schade — 2+ Shots (Medium) — L5 40%, 1.57/90; pace vs WHU CBs.

Cards (price sensitive)

• Kilman — To Be Shown a Card (High variance) — already 3 yellows; aerial/last-ditch scenarios vs Thiago.
• Paquetá or N. Collins — Any Card (High variance) — Paquetá 2 yellows; Collins 3 yellows, 1.29 fouls/90.

Bet-builder menus (mix 2–4 legs)

A) Primary Outlets (safer SGP)

• Bowen 1+ SOT
• Igor Thiago 1+ SOT
• Total Shots Over 19.5
  Logic: Lead shooters + slate shot profile support 20+ shots.

B) Midfield Traffic (fouls-centric)

• Paquetá 1+ foul
• Yarmoliuk 1+ foul
• Match Cards Over 4.5 (or Total Fouls Over)

C) Bowen Volume + Home Tilt

• Bowen 2+ shots
• West Ham 10+ team shots (or WHU Over 3.5 corners if shots not offered)
• Brentford Over 11.5 fouls committed (if available)

D) Bees Bite Back (away value)

• Igor Thiago 2+ shots (or 1+ SOT for safety)
• Schade 1+ SOT
• West Ham Over 1.5 team cards

Notes: Confirm starters for all player props; where possible, use books with “void if player doesn’t start.” Keep singles 0.5–1u, SGPs 0.25–0.5u. If West Ham score first, look live for Brentford shots/SOT and rising match cards.